Staying Up - Relegation Battle

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standupsitdown
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Post by standupsitdown »

With other teams losing twice and games running out our one point this weekend has actually strengthened our position.

Torquay 41 45 -8
Hemel 42 45 -17
Eastbourne41 41 -26
Dartford` 42 40 -18
Taunton 38 40 -21

Two from the above to go down.

Hard to judge as there are several games between these teams but here’s a best estimate of points required:

With no unexpected results 47 points (above Dartford & Eastbourne) should be enough.
Or 48 if one of these pick up more points and Hemel lose to Taunton.
Or 46 if Taunton beat us but lose to Hemel.

One more win should be enough as probably should drawing at Taunton and losing the rest.

But there may well be unexpected results and we really don’t want to leave it until the last day so need to pick up something in the coming four away games.

Torquay

Welling - away
Truro – away
Bath – away
Taunton – away
Havant – home

3 points (to 48), plus what we get from Taunton?


Hemel

Truro – away
Dover – home
Slough – home
Taunton – away

Only 4 games left. Worst form of everyone.
3 points (to 48), plus what they get from Taunton?
48 – lose to Taunton
51 – beat Taunton


Eastbourne

Weymouth – home
Truro – away
Chippenham – home
Weston – away
Braintree – away

No easy games.
6 points max? Takes them to 47


Dartford

Havant – away
Worthing – home
Yeovil – away
Truro – home

Only 4 games left 2 of which are difficult and poor form.
6 points max? Takes them to 46


Taunton

Maidstone – home
Hampton -away
Braintree – away
Farnborough – away
Torquay – home
Weston – home
Hemel - home

Their next three fixtures are hard and their form poor. Plus a lot of games in a short time.
3 points (to 43), plus what they get from Torquay & Hemel?

43 – lose to Hemel
46 – beat Hemel

Plus what they get from us.
GULL 67
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Post by GULL 67 »

Looks a bit better when you see this. Sadly I cannot see us winning any of our remaining games. We are just so poor. Maybe we can scrape a draw or two to limp into safety. It'll be squeaky but time and I'm sure I will enduree it rather than enjoy. So Strange how I actually pay this money that I haven't really got, to stand and suffer. I must be mad.
TommyGunn
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Post by TommyGunn »

Dartford finished second last season. What happened?

Form
Eastbourne 14 points from last 10 games.
Havant 12 points from last 10 games
Torquay 10 points from last 10 games
Taunton 7 points from last 10 games
Dover 5 points from last 10 games.
Dartford 3 points from last 10 games.
Hemel 2 points from last 10 games.

Could go to the last game for us or we may just sneek home due to Tauntons heavy amount of fixtures and Hemels and Dartfords poor form.
JimNichol'sdog
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Post by JimNichol'sdog »

Slightly off topic, but does Torquay United still employ Peter Johnson who is to recruitment what Michael McIntyre is to comedy?
standupsitdown
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Post by standupsitdown »

TommyGunn wrote: 01 Apr 2024, 19:14 Dartford finished second last season. What happened?

Form
Eastbourne 14 points from last 10 games.
Havant 12 points from last 10 games
Torquay 10 points from last 10 games
Taunton 7 points from last 10 games
Dover 5 points from last 10 games.
Dartford 3 points from last 10 games.
Hemel 2 points from last 10 games.

Could go to the last game for us or we may just sneek home due to Tauntons heavy amount of fixtures and Hemels and Dartfords poor form.
Interesting. If that form continues Dartford & Hemel go down.
CornishGull
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Post by CornishGull »

JimNichol'sdog wrote: 01 Apr 2024, 19:32 Slightly off topic, but does Torquay United still employ Peter Johnson who is to recruitment what Michael McIntyre is to comedy?
Yes
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Post by Modgull »

I think there is a good chance that we will only pick up two points in the five remaining games for a total of 47 but our goal difference will mean that we can only go down if three of those currently below us get 49 points or more. Don't think that will happen.
Phil

Another marathon beckons!
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Post by TommyGunn »

standupsitdown wrote: 01 Apr 2024, 19:47 Interesting. If that form continues Dartford & Hemel go down.
We have now conceded 13 goals in the last 5 games. 2.6 goals per game. We are clearly getting worse.

I think we still could just scrap over the line. Pack the defence and midfield.
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Post by portugull »

standupsitdown in your post yesterday you missed one of Tauntons games namely Slough at Home on 11th April.

Taunton look very vulnerable. I think they have lost 5 on the spin, have a very dodgy pitch, and could well lose the next 4 which include Farnborough away who are in very good form.
standupsitdown
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Post by standupsitdown »

portugull wrote: 02 Apr 2024, 18:24 standupsitdown in your post yesterday you missed one of Tauntons games namely Slough at Home on 11th April.

Taunton look very vulnerable. I think they have lost 5 on the spin, have a very dodgy pitch, and could well lose the next 4 which include Farnborough away who are in very good form.
Thanks - I'll add Slough game to list and repost with update after games tonight & Thursday.

Taunton have hardly picked up a point for ages other than consecutive wins over Weymouth & us.
Yes they are very vulnerable. They may need to beat us & Hemel to stay up but even then need to find a point or two elsewhere.
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Post by Nick Potkins »

Taunton 0 - Maidstone 1 tonight. Every little helps. . .
standupsitdown
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Post by standupsitdown »

Taunton really are in trouble.
Effectively 6 points behind us and now down to two games in hand.
Four difficult away games to come.
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Post by TommyGunn »

Truro v Hemel tonight at Gloucester. I heard from Maidstone fans that there were 4 lights not working resulting in dark areas last night. They reckon some refs would have postponed the game.

Really could do with Truro winning this.
standupsitdown
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Post by standupsitdown »

Hemel 2.0 up v Truro.
TommyGunn
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Post by TommyGunn »

standupsitdown wrote: 04 Apr 2024, 21:17 Hemel 2.0 up v Truro.
Just what we din't need. 2 points out of 30 and then they go and win.
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